A few days ago, I proved that my North Dakota quarter was better at predicting the Wild Card round than Yahoo! Sports expert Chris Carter. That was done post-games, so who knows, maybe it was tainted. To test, this week I’m flipping the coin in advance to see if my quarter can, once again, best the experts.
The rules are the same, the order of the flips correspond with the order of the games being played. Heads means a win by the home team; tails means the visitors come away with the upset win. I’m doing the flips before the games this time around, and will update the site with the results at the end of the weekend.
This time around, it looks like my quarter may have met it’s match. Home teams tend to win these games more often than not, but let’s see how things go.
Toss 1: Seattle at Green Bay
Tails this time means the quarter thinks Seattle goes in and ends the Packers great season. The experts are eating the Green Bay Kool-Aid.
Toss 2: Jacksonville at New England
Heads it is, the quarter and the experts are taking the Pats.
Toss 3: San Diego at Indy
Tails says the Chargers win in the dome. Experts say Indy.
Toss 4: New York at Dallas
Heads, I’m really starting to think there is something going on with this coin. Dallas is a good pick… good enough for the experts at least.
Wow, well, this quarter is fierce. Two consensus picks with New England and Dallas winning at home, and two ballsy ones with the only West Coast teams in the playoffs each making it to the conference finals.
So, here’s how the predictions stand for this weekend’s games:
| Game | 2006 N.D. Quarter | Y! Expert C.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle at Green Bay | Seattle | Green Bay |
| Jacksonville at New England | New England | New England |
| San Diego at Indianapolis | San Diego | Indianapolis |
| New York at Dallas | Dallas | Dallas |
Now we wait and see if Chris Carter is better at predicting playoff games than a 2006 North Dakota quarter.
[UPDATE: After this weekend’s games, in which both Chris and the quarter correctly picked the winners of 2 games, the quarter is in the lead with 5 correct picks out of 8 to Chris’s 4. So my original thinking that no one can really predict the playoffs in the NFL with much higher than a .500 percentage stands unchallenged].







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