… according to math, proving that math can easily be used for both good and evil. Bruce Bukiet of the New Jersey Institute of Technology created a model to estimate the total wins by each team, and by his calculations the Yankees will win 100 games… although many not using the power of math predict they might miss the playoffs entirely. I don’t think it takes a math major (which I am) to figure out that your model might need work when the Yankees pitching staff is suspect and no team has won more than 105 games in quite some time.
Bukiet starts each season with the most likely starting line-up for each team and uses data from the past three years for each player to compute how many runs each team will score in a given game.
Well, there’s a huge problem right there, with many of this year’s promising players having very little experience to base those stats off of. I bet his system did not see Zack Greinke posting 7 K’s to only one walk and only allowing two runs against Boston. As much as I like math and sabermetrics, it helps when your predictions are at least plausible.
- Mathematician: Yankees Will Dominate Baseball This Year (Live Science)







1 response so far ↓
1 WBRS Sports Blog // Apr 5, 2007 at 11:36 pm
110? No. Maybe 95 though.
Leave a Comment