The Super Bowl is set, and two of the four storylines that will surely be exhausted have come through:

• Will this be the year that Peyton Manning wins the big one, and avoids the relentless Dan Marino comparisons? Will Peyton Manning ever reveal that he wears women’s underwear under his pads? (I haven’t heard anything, but it could happen)
• And of course, its not just the first year a black head coach is in the title game… there are two of them. Which I’m so glad that they have and will point out because it totally undermines the job they have done this year by focusing on the fact that they are, in fact, black. It’s not like they are good at coaching or anything.

But the Disney storyline that was the New Orleans Saints came to a crashing halt, and Tom Brady’s opportunity to cement his position as the greatest 6th round draft pick ever also came up short as did the opportunity for a rematch of the ‘96 Super Bowl, which is a blessing because I don’t want to see Rex Grossman in any video, music video or not.

But the point of this post is to get my pick on the board as soon as possible. I could wait until the last minute, but lets face it, my pick is not gonna change and with my 7-3 postseason record my ego has gotten out of control to make me believe I can do something like this with some kind of authority. So here it goes…

Indianapolis at Chicago [IND -7]

I decided that a great way to make my pick it to look at both team’s bodies of work against comparable defensives and offenses.

Against opponents with top 15 defenses (like the Bears), the Colts’ average points differential in those games was +4.7. In games against teams with a top 15 offense (like the Bears), the points differential was +5.5. Now onto the Bears.

In 2006, the average points differential in games played against top 15 offenses (like the Colts), the Bears came out +10.8. Against the bottom 15 defenses (like the Colts), they were +11.6.

Based on that, I’m saying that it’s not out of the question for the Colts to win, but there is no way they cover a 7 point spread. I’m putting my money on the Bears to at least beat the spread… and I’ll go even further and say that the winners of Super Bowl XLI will be the Chicago Bears.

I wonder if they’ll let the Sex Cannon into Disneyland, cause that’s a law suit waiting to happen?